South Carolina

One minute after the polls closed, and with 0% reporting, CNN has already called it for Obama. That’s nice. Noam Scheiber says there are indications of a double-digit win, which would be awesome.

P.S. MSNBC calls it as well. There definitely seems to be a backlash against Clinton’s attacks. Via Matt Yglesias, 70% of voters thought she was being unfair in her attacks, 56% think he’s being unfair, and 50% think they’re both being unfair. So, 20% of people think only she is being unfair, while merely 6% think only he is being unfair. And via Greg Sargent, three quarters of Obama voters thought she was unfair, and less than half thought he was unfair. Meanwhile, two thirds of Clinton voters thought he was unfair, and almost two thirds thought she was unfair. Though there’s an all-around perception of dirty campaigning, Clinton definitely is being perceived as less fair than Obama. Hopefully this will be the meme coming out of South Carolina.

Meanwhile, ABC is saying that well more than half of the electorate was black. Obama won the black vote 81% to Clinton’s 17% and Edwards’ 1%, and black women 82% to 17% to 0%. Edwards won the white vote 39% to Clinton’s 36% to Obama’s 24%. Assuming a 50-50 split, this leaves a result of:

Obama: 52.5%
Clinton: 26.5%
Edwards: 20%

If that holds, this’ll be a very good night.
P.P.S. I love this photo (via Hotline):

P.P.P.S. Am I the only one who finds this really offensive?

Via Josh Marshall.

P.P.P.P.S. I like David Axelrod’s line: “This was a good, old fashioned butt kicking — as we say in this business.” This is why Obama staffers like to call him “the Axe”. No one expected Obama to beat Hillary by a two-to-one, 27% margin. This is insane.

P.P.P.P.P.S. Lynn Sweet says that either Ted Kennedy or Al Gore will endorse Obama in the next 48 hours. Both, please?

P.P.P.P.P.P.S. With 99% in, we’ve got:
Obama: 55%
Clinton: 27%
Edwards: 18%
Obama more than doubled Clinton’s vote total. The previous record margin of the race – Obama’s 9 point win in Iowa – has been tripled. This is a rout, a blow-out. Obama should get a lot of momentum out of this.

P.P.P.P.P.P.P.S. Do read Caroline Kennedy’s op-ed in tomorrow’s NYT, titled “A President Like My Father”. The opening graf:

OVER the years, I’ve been deeply moved by the people who’ve told me they wished they could feel inspired and hopeful about America the way people did when my father was president. This sense is even more profound today. That is why I am supporting a presidential candidate in the Democratic primaries, Barack Obama.
My reasons are patriotic, political and personal, and the three are intertwined. All my life, people have told me that my father changed their lives, that they got involved in public service or politics because he asked them to. And the generation he inspired has passed that spirit on to its children. I meet young people who were born long after John F. Kennedy was president, yet who ask me how to live out his ideals.

Here’s hoping her uncle takes her cue.

P.P.P.P.P.P.P.P.S. Did anyone notice the bow-tied black guy lifting his hands above his head and pointing them in toward each other during Obama’s victory speech? Or Suzanne Malveaux’s giant head as it popped into the frame at the end? Because that really distracted everyone at the Matthews household. Great speech, of course.

P.P.P.P.P.P.P.P.P.S. Edwards is giving his concession speech. He look exhausted, sad, and he’s slurring his words. This has got to suck for him; he beat Kerry 45% to 30% here four years ago. After all, he was born in South Carolina. And today he got a very distant third. He’s basically over at this point.

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